Braintree Town 2-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

Braintree Town
2-1 HT 0-1
Aldershot Town
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.83
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
9%
7.01
X/2
14%
4.84
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
24%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braintree Town v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.86/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.78
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aldershot Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
23.02.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.11.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
29.04.2017 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
20.08.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
28.03.2016 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
31.08.2015 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Braintree Town 2-1 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
2-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Aldershot Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Braintree Town had 47% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Braintree Town and 1.33 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town?

Braintree Town 2-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 30%, draw 26%, Aldershot Town 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
20 Aug 2024
21:45 Halifax Town vs Gateshead Analysis →
21:45 Wealdstone vs Sutton United Analysis →
21:45 Tamworth vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
21:45 Eastleigh vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
21:45 Maidenhead United vs Altrincham Analysis →
21:45 Woking vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →