Wealdstone 0-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.0
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
11%
12.75
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
14%
5.33
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +5%
1.59/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.18
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 4-1 HT 3-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
21.11.2020 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-3 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
0-1
AWAY Sutton United
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United nicked a narrow win over Wealdstone 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Sutton United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 50% of the ball to Sutton United's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wealdstone and 3.50 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Sutton United?

Wealdstone 0-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 39%, draw 25%, Sutton United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wealdstone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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