Leiston 2-2 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.0pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
2.12/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.77
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
06.01.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 5-0 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-0 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
05.02.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
2-2
AWAY St Ives Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leiston vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and St Ives Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Leiston carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leiston had 54% of the ball to St Ives Town's 46%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leiston and 1.67 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs St Ives Town?

Leiston 2-2 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Leiston 55%, draw 21%, St Ives Town 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
11 Feb 2025
22:45 Gainsborough Trinity vs Rylands Analysis →
22:45 Bamber Bridge vs Workington Analysis →
22:45 Hyde United vs Ilkeston Town Analysis →
22:45 Chertsey Town vs Walton & Hersham Analysis →
22:45 Taunton Town vs Frome Town Analysis →
22:45 Lancaster City vs Prescot Cables Analysis →