Santiago Morning 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santiago Morning EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 69%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.11/1.02
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
152 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santiago Morning
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
31.07.2014 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning 1-5 HT 1-3 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
31.05.2014 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-0 HT 3-0 Santiago Morning Santiago Morning ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santiago Morning
1-3
AWAY Universidad Chile
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santiago Morning vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile saw off Santiago Morning 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santiago Morning had 42% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 58%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santiago Morning and 4.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Santiago Morning vs Universidad Chile?

Santiago Morning 1-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Cup on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santiago Morning vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Santiago Morning 16%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ BTTS No
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