Union La Calera 2-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.32/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.32
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +67%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
9.0 Crosses 34.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-2D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
23.03.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
10.12.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
21.05.2023 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
24.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 3-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.05.2022 U. Catolica 3-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-2
AWAY U. Catolica
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera and U. Catolica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 47% of the ball to U. Catolica's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union La Calera and 1.50 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Union La Calera 2-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Cup on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 28%, draw 29%, U. Catolica 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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