U. Catolica 2-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.56/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.1 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
333 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
10.12.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
21.05.2023 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
24.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 3-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.05.2022 U. Catolica 3-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
03.10.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-0
AWAY Union La Calera
1.19 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
238 Passes 245
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica saw off Union La Calera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, U. Catolica had 50% of the ball to Union La Calera's 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for U. Catolica and 0.83 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

U. Catolica 2-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 43%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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