Palestino 1-4 CD Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Everton EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.33/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.3 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Everton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.59
47% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 CD Everton CD Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
24.11.2023 Palestino Palestino 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
12.05.2023 CD Everton CD Everton 2-2 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
01.10.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-4 HT 1-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
23.04.2022 CD Everton CD Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
09.09.2021 CD Everton CD Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
1-4
AWAY CD Everton
0.61 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
290 Passes 213
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palestino vs CD Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Everton ran out comfortable winners over Palestino 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Everton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Palestino had 56% of the ball to CD Everton's 44%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.61 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Palestino and 1.50 for CD Everton.

What was the final score of Palestino vs CD Everton?

Palestino 1-4 CD Everton in the Chile - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs CD Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Palestino 40%, draw 24%, CD Everton 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palestino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ BTTS Yes
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