Cobresal 3-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.60/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.03
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
15.1 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
04.12.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 4-3 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.05.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
05.11.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-4 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
23.08.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
19.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
3-3
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.97 xG 0.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 1
244 Passes 450
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal and Universidad Chile couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cobresal had 38% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 62%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.97 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cobresal and 1.67 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Universidad Chile?

Cobresal 3-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 28%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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