Deportes Iquique 2-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
+33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.6 Crosses 14.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 216
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
10.10.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-1 HT 2-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
14.09.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-3 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
28.07.2019 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
22.09.2018 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
19.05.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
2-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.15 xG 3.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 161
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique nicked a narrow win over Audax Italiano 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Deportes Iquique made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 62% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 38%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.15 to 3.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Audax Italiano.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportes Iquique and 2.00 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Audax Italiano?

Deportes Iquique 2-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 39%, draw 28%, Audax Italiano 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Iquique), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✓ BTTS Yes
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