Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.63
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
35%
-4.3pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.1pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.98
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
15.10.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
04.07.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
16.04.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Madryn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Atletico Atlanta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 1.80 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn?

Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 31%, draw 30%, Deportivo Madryn 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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