Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.82/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.96
-36% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-1D-3L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
30.08.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.05.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
25.08.2021 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-1
AWAY 2 de Mayo
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and 2 de Mayo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 44% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 56%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, 2 de Mayo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.60 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 38%, draw 29%, 2 de Mayo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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