Arjantin U20 1-0 Kolombiya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.97
6+ Goals
6%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.51/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.97
-50% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +103%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
13.0 Crosses 13.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin U20
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kolombiya U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.54 xG 0.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 Passes 138
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2025 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
28.01.2023 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 SUD20
30.01.2015 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
22.06.2005 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 DK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin U20
1-0
AWAY Kolombiya U20
0.84 xG 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 168
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arjantin U20 vs Kolombiya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U20 squeezed past Kolombiya U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arjantin U20 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arjantin U20 had 61% of the ball to Kolombiya U20's 39%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.84 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arjantin U20 and 1.00 for Kolombiya U20.

What was the final score of Arjantin U20 vs Kolombiya U20?

Arjantin U20 1-0 Kolombiya U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin U20 vs Kolombiya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arjantin U20 44%, draw 32%, Kolombiya U20 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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