Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Şili U20 v Uruguay U20 — Team-Based Signals
Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Şili U20 1-1 Uruguay U20 — Actual Match Statistics
Şili U20 and Uruguay U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Uruguay U20 at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Şili U20's favour, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.80 a game for Şili U20 against 2.40 for Uruguay U20.
Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20 Result & Final Score
Şili U20 1 - 1 Uruguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 17%, draw 22%, Uruguay U20 61%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.