Şili U20 1-1 Uruguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.98
2-3 Goals
47%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
57%
Away Win
56%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili U20
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Uruguay U20
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.62 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
235 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Şili U20 Şili U20 1-2 HT 1-1 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 SUD20
23.01.2023 Şili U20 Şili U20 0-3 HT 0-3 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 SUD20
15.11.2018 Şili U20 Şili U20 1-0 HT 1-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 HAZ
13.11.2018 Şili U20 Şili U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 HAZ
22.01.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 6-1 HT 3-0 Şili U20 Şili U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili U20
1-1
AWAY Uruguay U20
0.30 xG 1.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 11
272 Passes 189
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili U20 and Uruguay U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Uruguay U20 at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili U20 had 57% of the ball to Uruguay U20's 43%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Şili U20 and 2.40 for Uruguay U20.

What was the final score of Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Şili U20 1-1 Uruguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 24%, draw 19%, Uruguay U20 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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