Falkirk 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Feb 2026

Falkirk
1-0 HT 0-0
Dundee FC
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.78
Over
43%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.84
No
52%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
31%
2.98
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
18%
3.78
6+
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
6%
8.53
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.9
2/X
8%
15.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Falkirk v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC The Market 26%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.53
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.7 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Falkirk vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dundee FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
350 Passes 178
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
25.10.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
08.12.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 0-3 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCK
30.08.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
26.01.2016 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
29.03.2014 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL

Falkirk 1-0 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
1-0
AWAY Dundee FC
0.98 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Falkirk vs Dundee FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Falkirk came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Dundee FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Falkirk had 50% of the ball to Dundee FC's 50%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.98 to 1.58 — by the quality of chances, Dundee FC deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Falkirk and 1.83 for Dundee FC.

Falkirk vs Dundee FC Result & Final Score

Falkirk 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Falkirk vs Dundee FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 54%, draw 27%, Dundee FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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