Charlton Athletic 1-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.52
Over
38%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.29
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.14
6+
3%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.21
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
13%
5.59
X/2
13%
5.52
X/X
22%
3.68
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
19%
4.14
2/X
5%
14.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Charlton Athletic The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City The Market 38%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.36 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
241 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2025 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 3-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
08.02.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
10.08.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.01.2008 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.08.2007 Stoke City Stoke City 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
AWAY Stoke City
2.67 xG 0.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
162 Passes 332
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Charlton Athletic found just enough to beat Stoke City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Charlton Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Charlton Athletic had 37% of the ball to Stoke City's 63%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.67 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlton Athletic's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.80 for Stoke City.

Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Result & Final Score

Charlton Athletic 1 - 0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 33%, draw 33%, Stoke City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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