Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Charlton Athletic v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Charlton Athletic 1-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Charlton Athletic found just enough to beat Stoke City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Charlton Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%) came home.
Under the surface, Charlton Athletic had 37% of the ball to Stoke City's 63%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.67 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlton Athletic's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.80 for Stoke City.
Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Result & Final Score
Charlton Athletic 1 - 0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 33%, draw 33%, Stoke City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.