Stoke City 3-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Nov 2025

Stoke City
3-0 HT 3-0
Charlton Athletic
📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
8%
4.35
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
6.79
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.59
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.2 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.71 xG 0.43
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
08.02.2020 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
10.08.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.01.2008 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.08.2007 Stoke City Stoke City 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL

Stoke City 3-0 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
3-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 xG 0.22
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
323 Passes 173
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City cruised past Charlton Athletic 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stoke City had 65% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 35%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.83 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stoke City and 1.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?

Stoke City 3-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 48%, draw 24%, Charlton Athletic 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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