The Strongest 2-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
20%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
40%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
35%
-10.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 39%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.79/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.63
+118% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
10.8 Crosses 17.3
4.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bolivar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.36 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 235
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-4 HT 2-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
24.07.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
18.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
13.10.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 4-4 HT 2-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.06.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 0-3 HT 0-2 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
08.05.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 1-0 HT 1-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
2-1
AWAY Bolivar
1.28 xG 0.77
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
150 Passes 380
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Bolivar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, The Strongest had 33% of the ball to Bolivar's 67%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.28 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for The Strongest and 2.83 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Bolivar?

The Strongest 2-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 50%, draw 25%, Bolivar 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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