OFK Pirin 1-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.23/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/2.00
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 2-1 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BULK
18.09.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-2 HT 0-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
12.05.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 2-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
1-1
AWAY Hebar 1918
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Pirin and Hebar 1918 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 53% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, OFK Pirin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for OFK Pirin and 1.33 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918?

OFK Pirin 1-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Pirin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 39%, draw 27%, Hebar 1918 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFK Pirin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Pirin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →