Hebar 1918 2-1 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-0D-2L
AWAY OFK Pirin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.09.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-2 HT 0-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
12.05.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 2-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
2-1
AWAY OFK Pirin
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 nicked a narrow win over OFK Pirin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hebar 1918 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 52% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 48%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, OFK Pirin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 2.00 for OFK Pirin.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs OFK Pirin?

Hebar 1918 2-1 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebar 1918 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 41%, draw 26%, OFK Pirin 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebar 1918) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hebar 1918) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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