CSKA Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

CSKA Sofia
1-0 HT 1-0
Arda Kardzhali
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - Cup – 2023/2024

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.47
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
64%
-25.5pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.0pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+14.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Sofia v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
27.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1

CSKA Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia edged past Arda Kardzhali 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; CSKA Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 53% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 47%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 38%, draw 33%, Arda Kardzhali 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5
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