Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 Mar 2024

Monterrey
2-1 HT 2-0
Mazatlan
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Monterrey vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterrey v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.96/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.70
+5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.6 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Monterrey vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.01 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
325 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.01.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 Monterrey Monterrey HAZ
15.07.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.04.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.09.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
12.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
07.08.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK

Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
2-1
AWAY Mazatlan
1.37 xG 2.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
440 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey nicked a narrow win over Mazatlan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monterrey had 54% of the ball to Mazatlan's 46%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.37 to 2.14 — on chances, Mazatlan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monterrey and 0.50 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Mazatlan?

Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 57%, draw 20%, Mazatlan 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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