Mazatlan 1-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jan 2024

Mazatlan
1-2
Monterrey
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Mazatlan vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mazatlan vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monterrey
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 2.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.07.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.04.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.09.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
12.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
07.08.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
02.05.2021 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey edged past Mazatlan 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mazatlan and 1.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Monterrey?

Mazatlan 1-2 Monterrey in the Friendlies on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 52%, draw 20%, Monterrey 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mazatlan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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