Hannover 96 1-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
42%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.45
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.16
1/2
6%
19.45
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
12%
10.7
X/2
13%
4.1
X/X
7%
6.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
2/2
23%
1.94
2/X
11%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
41%
Away Win
58%
-16.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.11/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.00
+79% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
Crosses 10.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
06.01.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-0 Ajax Ajax HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-2
AWAY Ajax
0.81 xG 1.99
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
295 Passes 658
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 42
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax edged past Hannover 96 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 34% of the ball to Ajax's 66%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.99.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Ajax?

Hannover 96 1-2 Ajax in the Friendlies on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 33%, draw 25%, Ajax 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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