06/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Hannover 96 vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
24%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hannover 96 v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hannover 96
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ajax
EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
2.59/1.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.95/1.16
+40%
/
-24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+47%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
355 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0
–
Crosses
6.0
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hannover 96 vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hannover 96 ran out comfortable winners over Ajax 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Ajax?
Hannover 96 3-0 Ajax in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 47%, draw 24%, Ajax 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hannover 96)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
6 Jan 2024