Eintracht Frankfurt 2-5 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
2-5 HT 1-2
Freiburg
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.9
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.18
X/2
11%
6.7
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1
8%
22.6
2/2
12%
4.14
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.13/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.00
+36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Freiburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
27.05.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
25.01.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.04.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
21.11.2021 Freiburg Freiburg 0-2 HT 0-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
22.05.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg ran out comfortable winners over Eintracht Frankfurt 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Frankfurt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.83 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-5 Freiburg in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 41%, draw 27%, Freiburg 32%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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