Irak 0-1 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
49%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
12%
+13.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
49%
Away Win
68%
-19.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 72%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Güney Kore
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.14 xG 1.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 478
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2021 Irak Irak 0-3 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
02.09.2021 Güney Kore Güney Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
26.01.2015 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-0 HT 1-0 Irak Irak ASK
25.07.2007 Irak Irak 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
0-1
AWAY Güney Kore
0.50 xG 0.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Irak vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore nicked a narrow win over Irak 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Irak had 42% of the ball to Güney Kore's 58%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.50 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Güney Kore led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Irak and 1.25 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Irak vs Güney Kore?

Irak 0-1 Güney Kore in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Irak 25%, draw 26%, Güney Kore 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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