Darmstadt 98 1-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

Darmstadt 98
1-2 HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 27% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
8%
5.22
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.51
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.06
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · X/2 at 6.51 — our 18% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 36%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.45/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.52
-7% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.25 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 415
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-3 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.10.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
02.04.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
23.10.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
23.05.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-3 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
02.02.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel squeezed past Darmstadt 98 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Holstein Kiel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.00 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Darmstadt 98 1-2 Holstein Kiel in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 35%, draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✓ Over 2.5
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