Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

Sparta Rotterdam
1-2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒14:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Sparta Rotterdam vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.89
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
7%
5.12
X/2
9%
6.66
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1
5%
22.6
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oud-Heverlee Leuven EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.87/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+19% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oud-Heverlee Leuven squeezed past Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Oud-Heverlee Leuven made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 40%, draw 25%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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