Eldense 0-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jan 2024

Eldense
0-1
Twente
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Eldense vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
46%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.3
1/2
8%
21.15
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
8%
7.82
X/2
15%
4.43
X/X
14%
5.72
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.43
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eldense v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente edged past Eldense 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Twente?

Eldense 0-1 Twente in the Friendlies on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eldense 26%, draw 28%, Twente 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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