Managua 3-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.67/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.74
+36% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
15.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-1 Managua Managua NİK
20.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
26.03.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
26.02.2023 Managua Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
06.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
3-2
AWAY Matagalpa
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Managua vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua squeezed past Matagalpa 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Managua had 46% of the ball to Matagalpa's 54%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Managua had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Managua and 1.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Matagalpa?

Managua 3-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Managua 50%, draw 26%, Matagalpa 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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