Walter Ferretti 1-0 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.50/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.20
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Diriangen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
15.09.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
25.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.03.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
12.12.2022 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
09.12.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
1-0
AWAY Diriangen
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti edged past Diriangen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Diriangen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 33% of the ball to Diriangen's 67%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.00 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen?

Walter Ferretti 1-0 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 25%, draw 31%, Diriangen 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Diriangen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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