Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
0.98/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.86
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
29.07.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
28.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
19.02.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense and Club Olimpia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 41% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 59%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.25 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 25%, draw 22%, Club Olimpia 53%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
11 Mar 2024
02:30 Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani Analysis →