Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.48/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.96
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 162 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 230
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno CON CSA
25.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
09.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
07.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
26.02.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 3-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
31.10.2021 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-0
AWAY Club Guarani
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Luqueno found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 39% of the ball to Club Guarani's 61%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.50 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 39%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
11 Mar 2024
00:00 Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Olimpia Analysis →