Al-Jandal 1-3 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 55%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.53/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.00
-49% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Jandal
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Arabi 1-2 HT 0-1 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Jandal
1-3
AWAY Arabi
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Jandal vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi got the better of Al-Jandal 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Jandal had 54% of the ball to Arabi's 46%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Al-Jandal vs Arabi?

Al-Jandal 1-3 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Jandal vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al-Jandal 22%, draw 30%, Arabi 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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