Al Najma 1-1 Hajer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2024

Al Najma
1-1 HT 1-0
Hajer
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Hajer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Hajer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajer EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.04/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
-24% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Najma vs Hajer Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hajer
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2023 Hajer Hajer 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Hajer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma and Hajer shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Hajer?

Al Najma 1-1 Hajer in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Hajer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 44%, draw 29%, Hajer 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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