Magesi 1-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
35%
2.61
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.25
Over 2.5
39%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.6
2-3 Goals
46%
1.93
4-5 Goals
16%
8.98
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
35%
Draw
35%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
76%
-15.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
24%
+15.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 38%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.61/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.86
-72% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.4 Crosses 25.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magesi
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Richards Bay
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.12 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
259 Passes 268
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Magesi Magesi GAFPSL
09.11.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Magesi Magesi GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
1-0
AWAY Richards Bay
0.93 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
164 Passes 156
59% Pass Accuracy 54%
10 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi squeezed past Richards Bay 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Magesi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Magesi had 48% of the ball to Richards Bay's 52%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Magesi had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Magesi and 0.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Richards Bay?

Magesi 1-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magesi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Magesi 35%, draw 35%, Richards Bay 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
11 Mar 2025
20:30 TS Galaxy vs SuperSport United Analysis →
20:30 Stellenbosch FC vs Orlando Pirates Analysis →
20:30 Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu Analysis →