Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.59/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.55
+39% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
13.2 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AmaZulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.28 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
463 Passes 196
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2024 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
27.02.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
06.12.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
18.09.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
20.12.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
20.08.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY AmaZulu
1.40 xG 0.62
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
481 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns beat AmaZulu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 65% of the ball to AmaZulu's 35%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.40 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 58%, draw 23%, AmaZulu 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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