AmaZulu 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 32% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
0.62/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.83
-74% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +52%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 84%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
16.1 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
198 Passes 458
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
06.12.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
18.09.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
20.12.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
20.08.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
21.04.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
0-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.84 xG 1.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
222 Passes 481
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns squeezed past AmaZulu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AmaZulu had 35% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 65%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.84 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for AmaZulu and 1.00 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

AmaZulu 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 20%, draw 26%, Mamelodi Sundowns 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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