Orlando Pirates 8-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.73/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.7 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.40 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
390 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
09.03.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
20.12.2021 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 2-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
24.08.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
05.06.2021 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
8-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
3.58 xG 1.01
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 123
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
28 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates ran out comfortable winners over Marumo Gallants 8-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 69% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 31%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.58 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.33 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Orlando Pirates 8-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 57%, draw 25%, Marumo Gallants 18%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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