AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.17/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.76
+50% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cardiff City U21
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
03.12.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
15.03.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
12.01.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 cruised past Cardiff City U21 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 0.67 for Cardiff City U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 55%, draw 25%, Cardiff City U21 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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