Derot 0-1 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derot EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 26%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.67
-100% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derot
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2024 Sporting Alexandria 1-3 HT 0-1 Derot Derot MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derot
0-1
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Derot vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Alexandria squeezed past Derot 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Derot at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Derot had 65% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 35%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Derot vs Sporting Alexandria?

Derot 0-1 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derot vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derot win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Derot 44%, draw 29%, Sporting Alexandria 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derot) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derot) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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