Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente 4-4 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente and Union Santa Fe shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-3. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.
A gentle 47% lean on Independiente didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Independiente's favour, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.11 to 2.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Independiente against 0.83 for Union Santa Fe.
Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Result & Final Score
Independiente 4 - 4 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Independiente 47%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 23%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.