Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles FC v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Alajuelense
CON
0-3
HT 0-0
Los Angeles FC
CON
Los Angeles FC 1-1 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Los Angeles FC carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Los Angeles FC had 76% of the ball to Alajuelense's 24%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.07 to 0.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense?
Los Angeles FC 1-1 Alajuelense in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 70%, draw 13%, Alajuelense 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.