Philadelphia Union vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Club America
CON
2-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
CON
Philadelphia Union 0-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Club America nicked a narrow win over Philadelphia Union 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Club America made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 52% of the ball to Club America's 48%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.73 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Philadelphia Union.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.00 for Club America.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Club America?
Philadelphia Union 0-1 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 38%, draw 30%, Club America 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.