Lens (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 Mar 2026

Lens (K)
2-1 HT 2-1
Montpellier (K)
📅11/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Lens (K) vs Montpellier (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens (K) v Montpellier (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.18/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.87
-14% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.4 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Lens (K) vs Montpellier (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.84 xG 2.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
148 Passes 315
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Lens (K) Lens (K) FRK1

Lens (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens (K)
2-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.86 xG 0.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
198 Passes 240
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lens (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens (K) squeezed past Montpellier (K) 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Lens (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lens (K) had 47% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.86 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lens (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Lens (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Lens (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lens (K) 36%, draw 32%, Montpellier (K) 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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