PSG (K) 2-1 Marsilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
10%
7.13
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-1.4pp
10%
Draw
11%
-1.0pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.67/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.87
+9% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
24.0 Crosses 10.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marsilya (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.78
78% Ball Possession 22%
15 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
648 Passes 129
90% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2025 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) 1-5 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
2-1
AWAY Marsilya (K)
1.68 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
346 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Marsilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) edged past Marsilya (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, PSG (K) had 58% of the ball to Marsilya (K)'s 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.68 to 0.60.

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

PSG (K) 2-1 Marsilya (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 80%, draw 10%, Marsilya (K) 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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