AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AGF Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals
AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
1-3
HT 1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
0-1
HT 0-1
AGF Aarhus
DAN
0-2
HT 0-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAK
AGF Aarhus 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics
AGF Aarhus edged past FC Nordsjaelland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AGF Aarhus had 35% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 65%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.60 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Nordsjaelland.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.33 for FC Nordsjaelland.
What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
AGF Aarhus 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 25%, draw 29%, FC Nordsjaelland 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.