FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Nordsjaelland v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
1-3
HT 1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
0-1
HT 0-1
AGF Aarhus
DAN
0-2
HT 0-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAK
1-1
HT 1-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
FC Nordsjaelland 2-3 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics
AGF Aarhus edged past FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; AGF Aarhus found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 61% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 39%, shots finished 12-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.67 for AGF Aarhus.
What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?
FC Nordsjaelland 2-3 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 39%, draw 26%, AGF Aarhus 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.