Silkeborg IF 6-1 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
12%
3.94
X/2
9%
10.75
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
14%
8.31
2/X
8%
15.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/1.85
+52% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
51.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2021 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
02.05.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-1 HT 0-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN1
12.12.2020 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
27.09.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN1
11.10.2019 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 3-3 HT 2-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAK
25.04.2018 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-1 HT 0-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
6-1
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.76 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
728 Passes 395
94% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF swept aside FC Fredericia 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Silkeborg IF as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 63% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 37%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.76 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Silkeborg IF and 0.83 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs FC Fredericia?

Silkeborg IF 6-1 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Silkeborg IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 43%, draw 25%, FC Fredericia 32%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Silkeborg IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Silkeborg IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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