Bengaluru 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 11 Apr 2024

Bengaluru
0-4 HT 0-1
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bengaluru v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 59%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.19/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.59
-32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +91%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
19.5 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 Passes 308
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
18.03.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
05.02.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-2 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
03.12.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-1 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
27.02.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
16.12.2021 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-3 HT 2-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

Bengaluru 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
0-4
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.26 xG 2.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 10
356 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan swept aside Bengaluru 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bengaluru had 59% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 41%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.26 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bengaluru and 1.67 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Bengaluru 0-4 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 19%, draw 27%, ATK Mohun Bagan 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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